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Will disturbance in Gulf develop into tropical depression for Louisiana?

Will disturbance in Gulf develop into tropical depression for Louisiana.
The development was reported about 9 minutes ago. The initial verified report was . The verified report states: Warm waters in the Gulf could support rapid intensification.
It also reports: But wind shear is likely to limit the chances. Another confirmed detail is: "We currently believe there is a 15 percent chance. The available report further notes: The most likely intensity is either a tropical depression.